Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.181671 0.203742 0.226786 0.252585 0.280604 0.310058 0.343304
2025-02-09 0.152310 0.182328 0.215208 0.253702 0.297336 0.345061 0.401006
2025-02-16 0.132215 0.167534 0.207848 0.256853 0.314381 0.379340 0.457784
2025-02-23 0.120023 0.159881 0.207032 0.266207 0.337735 0.420638 0.523178
2025-03-02 0.104623 0.146429 0.197643 0.263918 0.346264 0.444045 0.567672
2025-03-09 0.093001 0.136303 0.191088 0.263980 0.356800 0.469390 0.614481
2025-03-16 0.082641 0.126655 0.184091 0.262536 0.364734 0.491147 0.656894
2025-03-23 0.076424 0.121877 0.182827 0.267986 0.381122 0.523398 0.712671
2025-03-30 0.069177 0.114917 0.177974 0.268106 0.390190 0.546230 0.756763
2025-04-06 0.062704 0.108419 0.173165 0.267752 0.398242 0.567583 0.799078
2025-04-13 0.057026 0.102549 0.168727 0.267450 0.406031 0.588457 0.840901
2025-04-20 0.052658 0.098260 0.166190 0.269499 0.416831 0.613296 0.888165
2025-04-27 0.050030 0.096686 0.167798 0.277898 0.437219 0.652187 0.955946
2025-05-04 0.045880 0.092257 0.164786 0.279329 0.447753 0.677937 1.006715
2025-05-11 0.042623 0.089002 0.163310 0.282848 0.461226 0.707886 1.063653
2025-05-18 0.041108 0.088593 0.166217 0.292996 0.484462 0.751739 1.140281
2025-05-25 0.037126 0.083425 0.161133 0.290567 0.489078 0.769560 1.181382
2025-06-01 0.034022 0.079536 0.157837 0.290655 0.497255 0.792398 1.229673
2025-06-08 0.030921 0.075327 0.153694 0.289110 0.502778 0.811404 1.272781
2025-06-15 0.029349 0.073922 0.154205 0.294989 0.519633 0.846923 1.339633
2025-06-22 0.026989 0.070697 0.151321 0.295122 0.527546 0.869510 1.388403
2025-06-29 0.024760 0.067500 0.148254 0.294742 0.534534 0.890753 1.435472
2025-07-06 0.022733 0.064506 0.145337 0.294417 0.541490 0.911961 1.482710